Keltner Channel Trend
Chester Keltner's channel (an EMA with bands a multiple of the average true range away) used as a trend switch. A close above the upper band turns the system long, a close below the lower band turns it short. While in a trade the EMA itself acts as the trailing exit: a close back through the centre line ends the trade. Simple, slow and robust.
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How to use it
1h BTC / ETH / SOL perpetuals (a slow 400-bar EMA, about 17 days). Wider bands = fewer, later entries. Position size is a % of equity (Properties). Commission 0.06% per side. Back-test BTCUSDT 1h (Bybit, 0.06% fee/side, funding not included): 2023–2025 +47% (PF 1.13, max DD 49%, 140 trades); unseen 2025–2026 +20% (PF 1.22, 63 trades). Past results don't predict future ones. Concept: Chester W. Keltner, "How to Make Money in Commodities" (1960); ATR version popularised by Linda Bradford Raschke.
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Back-tests and forward tests are simulations; past results do not predict future ones. Nothing here is financial advice. Trading carries a high risk of loss.